Thread Index - January 2025 - sw-storm-coordinators@feca.simplelists.com

Possible Freezing Rain and Ice Accretion Event, Beginning Saturday afternoon, January 4 in parts KS, OK & MO and continuing thru Monday afternoon and evening, January 6, across parts of MO, AR, IL, TN, IN, KY, AL, GA, SC, NC, VA, WV & OH. Three models showing accretion amounts from 1/4” up to 1” in some areas… Sidney Sperry (01 Jan 2025 14:09 UTC)
GFS, EURO or ECMWF, and NWS National Blend of Models - Forecast SNOW amounts, January 4 thru 6, 2025... Sidney Sperry (01 Jan 2025 18:29 UTC)
Latest Long-Term Forecast Model Runs for Total Ice Accretion. Three Models displayed below for potential freezing rain event January 4 thru January 7, 2025. Euro or ECMWF Model, then NWS Blend of Models (NBM), then GFS Model. Ice accretion amounts still being forecast in 1/4” to 1” range for parts of some states… Sidney Sperry (01 Jan 2025 23:52 UTC)
Arctic Air begins moving south-southeast from Canada and North Central Region over next several days. Morning (6am CT) low forecast temps shown below. Heavy rain over next 3 days in parts sw OR and nw CA. Front end of potentially significant ice and snow event beginning to show in Forecasts thru Saturday afternoon… Sidney Sperry (02 Jan 2025 03:10 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Thursday, 1/2/2025. Note SNOW SQUALL WARNING parts IA. Winter Storm Warnings parts WY, CO, NY & VT. Lake Effect Snow Warning parts OH, PA & NY. Cold weather Advisory parts MT & ND; Extreme Cold Warning parts MI Upper Peninsula. High Wind Warnings parts CO. Sidney Sperry (02 Jan 2025 14:47 UTC)
Forecast Model Updates for TOTAL ICE; also, latest NWS Total Ice Forecasts thru 6am January 5, and SPIA Index Forecasts thru 6am January 5... Sidney Sperry (02 Jan 2025 16:43 UTC)
Latest Forecast Updates for Total Ice, SPIA Index Ice Impact Forecasts, and Total Snow/Sleet Forecasts, as of 5pm CT 1/2/25 thru 6pm CT 1/5/25 Sidney Sperry (02 Jan 2025 23:31 UTC)
Winter Storm Warnings, Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Watches dominate the North Rockies Region, South Central Region & Northeast Region. Freeze Warning parts GA & FL. Lake Effect Snow Warning parts OH, PA & NY. Sidney Sperry (03 Jan 2025 02:49 UTC)
Ice Amounts still increasing for approaching Winter Storm; Forecast Snow amounts increasing as well. Significant Winter Storm over next 3-4 days from Kansas to Virginia... Sidney Sperry (03 Jan 2025 12:41 UTC)
RE: Ice Amounts still increasing for approaching Winter Storm; Forecast Snow amounts increasing as well. Significant Winter Storm over next 3-4 days from Kansas to Virginia... Brown, Bronson R. (03 Jan 2025 13:14 UTC)
RE: Ice Amounts still increasing for approaching Winter Storm; Forecast Snow amounts increasing as well. Significant Winter Storm over next 3-4 days from Kansas to Virginia... Craig Moeller (03 Jan 2025 13:30 UTC)
Storm Call - Saturday Morning Craig Moeller (03 Jan 2025 17:24 UTC)
Re: Storm Call - Saturday Morning - TECA Contact Information BJ Bernard (04 Jan 2025 16:22 UTC)
Storm Call - Sunday Afternoon Craig Moeller (04 Jan 2025 23:53 UTC)
Storm Call - Monday Morning Craig Moeller (05 Jan 2025 22:37 UTC)
RE: Ice Amounts still increasing for approaching Winter Storm; Forecast Snow amounts increasing as well. Significant Winter Storm over next 3-4 days from Kansas to Virginia... Craig Moeller (03 Jan 2025 14:29 UTC)
RE: Ice Amounts still increasing for approaching Winter Storm; Forecast Snow amounts increasing as well. Significant Winter Storm over next 3-4 days from Kansas to Virginia... Craig Moeller (03 Jan 2025 15:34 UTC)
Re: [External] Ice Amounts still increasing for approaching Winter Storm; Forecast Snow amounts increasing as well. Significant Winter Storm over next 3-4 days from Kansas to Virginia... Todd Blocker (03 Jan 2025 15:39 UTC)
Noon Updates from the NWS on Total Ice, Total Snow & Sleet, and the latest SPIA Index Ice Impact Forecasts. Next major update will be between 5:30 and 6:30 pm tonight... Sidney Sperry (03 Jan 2025 20:05 UTC)
Latest NWS Forecast Updates and SPIA Index Ice Impact Forecasts… Sidney Sperry (03 Jan 2025 23:13 UTC)
National and Regional Views for Total Ice Accumulation Forecasts from NWS, the SPIA Index Ice Impact Forecasts, and NWS Forecasts for Total Snow & Sleet, from 6am CT this morning thru 6am Tuesday, January 7. Sidney Sperry (04 Jan 2025 13:22 UTC)
SPC (Storm Prediction Center) Severe Thunderstorm Forecasts, Days 2 & 3 Sidney Sperry (04 Jan 2025 16:30 UTC)
Latest (5pm 1/4/25) NWS Forecast Updates, plus SPIA Index Ice Impact Forecast Updates. Sidney Sperry (04 Jan 2025 23:47 UTC)
Latest NWS Total Ice Forecasts; Latest SPIA Index Ice Impact Forecasts; Latest NWS Total Snow & Sleet Forecasts. Co-op Outage Numbers due to Winter Storm and Severe Thunderstorms and Tornadoes as of 6:30PM CT on Sunday, 1/5/25... Sidney Sperry (06 Jan 2025 01:18 UTC)
Freezing Rain Continues for parts of KY, WV, VA & NC this morning. Heay Snow across parts OH, PA, WV & VA as well. Co-op Outages due to ice, snow and severe thunderstorms & tornadoes now total over 90,000. Sidney Sperry (06 Jan 2025 12:08 UTC)
Co-op Outages due to Winter Storm (Ice & Snow) now total 108,491 across 10 states. Another 3,500 Co-op Outages in parts TX, LA, MS, AL & GA due to Severe Thunderstorms and Tornadoes… Sidney Sperry (06 Jan 2025 14:52 UTC)
Latest Updates... Sidney Sperry (06 Jan 2025 15:51 UTC)
Long-Term Model Forecasts for Total Ice Accumulation, January 9 thru January 12, 2025... Sidney Sperry (06 Jan 2025 21:28 UTC)
Long Term Model SNOW Forecasts, from GFS, Euro or ECMWF and NBM Models... Sidney Sperry (06 Jan 2025 21:55 UTC)
Remaining half of Euro Model SNOW Forecasts, plus NWS National Blend of Models or NBM SNOW Forecasts, Thursday thru Sunday, January 9-12, 2025 Sidney Sperry (06 Jan 2025 22:01 UTC)
Ice and Snow in the NWS Forecasts beginning late Wednesday night in west TX, then continuing into TX, OK, AR, LA & MS on Thursday and Friday, January 9 & 10. Sidney Sperry (07 Jan 2025 01:01 UTC)
A nice, 1 graphic overview of this week’s weather, with good descriptions of what’s possible… Sidney Sperry (07 Jan 2025 01:38 UTC)
Long Term Models showing potential ice and snow accumulations and forecast paths. GFS, Euro or ECMWF, and NWS National Blend of Models used in first 12 graphics (6 for ice, 6 for snow). Then, Front End of storm forecasts from NWS, beginning today through 6am CT Friday, 1/10/25, for Snow and Ice. Sidney Sperry (07 Jan 2025 12:10 UTC)
Latest Ice Forecast Updates from NWS. Heaviest accumulations forecast to be in southeast AR and northeast LA, up to 0.29”. Sidney Sperry (08 Jan 2025 04:14 UTC)
Latest NWS Total Ice Forecasts and Total Snow/Sleet Forecasts through 6pm CT Friday, 1/10/25… Sidney Sperry (08 Jan 2025 04:53 UTC)
Heaviest Ice being forecast by the NWS is now in Texas and South Carolina. Data is through 6am CT Saturday, 1/11/25. Heaviest Snow in parts of AR, TN, MS, AL and GA. Sidney Sperry (08 Jan 2025 12:26 UTC)
Latest NWS Total Ice Forecasts, SPIA Index Ice Impact Forecasts, and NWS Total Snow Forecasts, as of 5am 1/9/2025... Sidney Sperry (09 Jan 2025 11:54 UTC)
Latest Forecast Updates as of 6pm CT 1/9/2025 Sidney Sperry (10 Jan 2025 00:22 UTC)
State Outage Totals due to Ice and Snow Storms as of 4:30AM CT Friday, January 10, 2025 Sidney Sperry (10 Jan 2025 11:04 UTC)
Data Feed from the National Weather Service is down this morning… Sidney Sperry (10 Jan 2025 12:19 UTC)
Meanwhile, here are the NWS Total Ice and Total Snow Forecasts from Midnight/1am this morning, before the header file issue occurred. The SPIA Index Forecasts for that time frame are also included. Max ice in the NWS grids at that time was 0.45” in north GA; the SPIA Index was at Levels 1 & 2 in GA, Level 1 in parts AL, SC & NC. Sidney Sperry (10 Jan 2025 12:41 UTC)
From NOAA, NWS and the Storm Prediction Center at 3:30am CT Friday, 1/10/2025 Sidney Sperry (10 Jan 2025 13:14 UTC)
Alternate NWS data feed established. Here are the 6am CT/7amET Forecast Updates for Friday, January 10, 2025. Includes Total Ice, SPIA Index, and Regional Total Snow Forecasts as of 6am CT/7am ET today… Sidney Sperry (10 Jan 2025 13:45 UTC)
Latest NWS Total Ice Forecast, SPIA Index Forecast, and NWS Total Snow Forecast Sidney Sperry (10 Jan 2025 23:39 UTC)
Latest ice & snow storm is exiting the eastern and southeastern U.S. Peak outages across the Southeast Region yesterday were approximately 36,000 meters across parts of MS, AL, TN, GA, KY, SC, NC and VA from this latest Round. As of 7:15 a.m. CT this morning, Saturday, January 11, 2025, Co-op outages are down to 10,565. Sidney Sperry (11 Jan 2025 13:50 UTC)
Long-Term Model Outlooks on potential freezing rain/ice events Sidney Sperry (12 Jan 2025 14:31 UTC)
Euro Model, January 20 thru January 22… Sidney Sperry (12 Jan 2025 22:55 UTC)
Fwd: Graphics for Statewide Storm Coordinators... Sidney Sperry (13 Jan 2025 11:48 UTC)
Re: Graphics for Statewide Storm Coordinators... Joe McElroy (13 Jan 2025 12:13 UTC)
Long-Term Models... are all over the place! Not necessarily surprising, with forecasts 10 to 15 days out! Sidney Sperry (13 Jan 2025 13:05 UTC)
Latest Updates from the USGS, NWS, NOAA, and the Climate Prediction Center... Sidney Sperry (14 Jan 2025 13:02 UTC)
It's back... and there is SOME model agreement for the possibility of a freezing rain event during the period January 20 thru 24 across the South & Southeast Regions. Sidney Sperry (14 Jan 2025 14:27 UTC)
Latest Updates from 3 Long-Term Forecast Models: GFS, Euro or ECMWF, and the NWS NBM model. Some model agreement on a possible icing event 1/20 thru 1/23 across the South & Southeast. Potential amounts vary from 1/4” up to 1”+ in some states. Still 6 to 7 days out; a lot can still change in these model forecasts… Sidney Sperry (15 Jan 2025 01:57 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories. Note continuing Red Flag Warnings across parts southern CA. High Wind Warnings parts MT, WY & CA. Lake Effect Snow Warning parts PA & NY. Sidney Sperry (15 Jan 2025 14:17 UTC)
3 frequently used Long-Term Models (GFS, Euro or ECMWF, and National Blend of Models or NBM) are coming into agreement for the potential of an icing event beginning late Monday, January 20, and possibly continuing thru Friday, January 24. Forecast amounts still vary greatly, from 1/4”+ up to 1/2”+. Sidney Sperry (15 Jan 2025 15:21 UTC)
Long-Term Model Total Snow Forecasts for the period 6am CT January 20 through 6am CT January 25. Thought you all might want to see what the GFS, Euro or ECMWF, and the NBM models are forecasting for Total Snow during the same period as the concerns for Total Ice (January 20 - 25). Sidney Sperry (15 Jan 2025 17:18 UTC)
Latest Long-Term Model Updates: GFS, Euro or ECMWF, and National Blend of Models or NBM. Beginning dates & times, forecast footprint path, and end dates, plus amounts legend at bottom of each graphic. Sidney Sperry (16 Jan 2025 02:02 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Thursday, January 16, 2025. Note Red Flag Fire Warnings continue in parts southern CA. High Wind Warnings parts MT & WY; High Wind Watch parts sw TX. Winter Storm Warning parts PA, MD & WV. Fire Risk in parts southern NM & across GA. Light ice < 1/10” in PA, OH, WV, VA, NC. Sidney Sperry (16 Jan 2025 13:04 UTC)
Latest U.S. Drought Monitor Update Sidney Sperry (16 Jan 2025 13:39 UTC)
Long-Term Model Snow & Ice Forecasts through Midnight Saturday, January 25… Sidney Sperry (16 Jan 2025 16:07 UTC)
Latest Updates from Long-Term Forecast Models: GFS, Euro or ECMWF, and NBM. Ice amounts vary, but generally in the 1/10” to 1/2” range, except in the Euro Model, where ice in parts of northern FL and southern GA are in the 1/2” to 3/4” range. Sidney Sperry (17 Jan 2025 03:09 UTC)
Latest Long-Term Model Forecasts for Snow & Ice, Tuesday thru Saturday, January 21 - 25, 2025. Beginning dates and ending dates for Snow first in the GFS, Euro or ECMWF, and National Blend of Models or NBM; then beginning and ending dates for Ice from those same Long-Term Forecast Models (GFS, ECMWF and NBM). Sidney Sperry (17 Jan 2025 11:49 UTC)
Latest NWS and NOAA Forecast updates, through Monday, 1/20/25… Sidney Sperry (17 Jan 2025 16:55 UTC)
Last Long-Term Model Update that I will be sending out. NWS forecasts will be reaching out 72-hours to the front or beginning stages of this storm by tonight or tomorrow morning. Will be sending NWS forecast graphics for ice and snow tomorrow morning. Sidney Sperry (17 Jan 2025 22:32 UTC)
First 4 graphics are NWS Low Temperature Forecasts across the Continental United States (CONUS) for this Saturday, Sunday, Monday & Tuesday at 6am CT. The 2nd set of 12 graphics are the NWS Apparent Temperature (Wind Chill Temps) Forecasts for the N-Central, S-Central, Southeast & Northeast Regions for Jan. 18, 19 & 20… Sidney Sperry (18 Jan 2025 01:31 UTC)
Latest NWS & NOAA Forecast Updates. Note the beginning of ice event in south TX by late Monday night into Tuesday morning. This potential freezing rain and snow event will move from west to east across the South Central and Southeast Regions next week. Very COLD temperatures and Wind Chills next 5-7 days across U.S. Sidney Sperry (18 Jan 2025 12:34 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories. Latest NWS Total Ice Forecast to 6am CT Wednesday, January 22. SPIA Index Levels 1 & 2 in TX and GA, Level 1 in LA & FL. Max ice in NWS grids: 0.37” parts southeast GA; 0.18” parts southeast TX; 0.15” parts southeast LA. Snow from 1” up to 6” across parts South Central & Southeast. Sidney Sperry (19 Jan 2025 13:57 UTC)
Latest NWS Total Ice Forecasts, SPIA Index Ice Impact Forecasts, and NWS Total Snow & Sleet Forecasts, South Central, Southeast and Northeast Region views. Sidney Sperry (20 Jan 2025 00:13 UTC)
Two emails - final forecasts for NWS Total Ice, SPIA Index Ice Impact in 1st email, then Total Snow Forecasts in 2nd email - last forecasts for this event... Sidney Sperry (21 Jan 2025 12:06 UTC)
NWS Total Snow Forecasts, through end of event period... final email for this event. Sidney Sperry (21 Jan 2025 12:20 UTC)
Electric Cooperative Outages due to latest Winter Storm - Snow & Ice... Sidney Sperry (22 Jan 2025 12:08 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories. SPC Fire Risk Outlook, Days 1 & 2. USGS Wildland Fire Potential Index, Days 1 & 2. Climate Prediction Center Forecasts, Days 6 thru 10 and Days 8 thru 14. Sidney Sperry (23 Jan 2025 11:47 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advirsories; Snow Forecast from Sierra-Nevada Range to North & South Rockies Region. SPC and USGS Fire Risk Outlooks. Long-Term Model Ice Accumulation Forecasts out 7 to 10 days. Sidney Sperry (24 Jan 2025 14:02 UTC)
Re: External Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advirsories; Snow Forecast from Sierra-Nevada Range to North & South Rockies Region. SPC and USGS Fire Risk Outlooks. Long-Term Model Ice Accumulation Forecasts out 7 to 10 days. William Thompson (24 Jan 2025 14:11 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories; latest NWS 72-hour QPF, Total Ice, and Total Snow Forecasts, plus NWS/NOAA 7-day Total QPF Forecast. Long-Term Models (GFS, ECMWF and NBM) 5 to 10 day out Total Ice Forecasts. Sidney Sperry (25 Jan 2025 13:22 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Monday, January 27, 2025. Red Flag Fire Warnings parts central NE. Elevated Fire Risk parts AZ & NM. Fire Weather Watch parts northern IL. Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms, Day 3, parts TX. Heavy Snow across parts North Central & Northeast U.S. next 72-hrs. Sidney Sperry (27 Jan 2025 12:38 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Tuesday, January 28, 2025. Note Dense Fog & Freezing Fog Warnings this AM parts LA, MS, Al, GA & TN. Note Snow Squall Warnings paarts NY, VT, NH & ME. Wind Advisories parts ND & MN. Sidney Sperry (28 Jan 2025 11:37 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Wednesday, January 29, 2025. Note Winter Storm Warnings for parts NM, NY & VT. Note High Wind Warnings in parts NM & TX. Flood Watch parts OK, AR & MO. Sidney Sperry (29 Jan 2025 12:24 UTC)
RE: Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Wednesday, January 29, 2025. Note Winter Storm Warnings for parts NM, NY & VT. Note High Wind Warnings in parts NM & TX. Flood Watch parts OK, AR & MO. Ducsai, John (29 Jan 2025 12:41 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Thursday, January 30, 2025. Flash Flood Warnings parts north TX. Flood Watch parts OK, AR, MO, IL, KY & TN. High Wind Warnings parts WY, NM & TX. Winter Storm Warnings parts OR, ID & NM. Sidney Sperry (30 Jan 2025 11:49 UTC)
Latest NWS Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Friday, January 31, 2025. Winter Storm Warnings for parts WA, OR, CA, ID, MT, WY & UT. High Wind Warnings parts MT, WY & NV. Flood Watch parts CA, KY, WV & VA. Sidney Sperry (31 Jan 2025 12:19 UTC)