Re: Latest National Hurricane Center Forecast Update... Tropical Disturbance in Caribbean Sea Continues to Develop...
Nick Adams 01 Oct 2020 10:35 UTC
Thanks Sid!
Sent from my iPhone
> On Oct 1, 2020, at 6:04 AM, Sidney Sperry <SidSperry@gmail.com> wrote:
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> All,
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> There are now two (2) Tropical Waves that have formed in the Caribbean Sea. The first, which is further to the west, is the one that we have been watching for the last 4 or 5 days now. The NHC is giving this Tropical Disturbance a 70 percent chance of developing into a Tropical Depression in the next 1 to 3 days, most likely sometime over the weekend. It's movement is west-northwest, edging closer to the Yucatan Peninsula and will likely enter the far southern Gulf of Mexico over this coming weekend. As the NHC forecaster says in the forecast overview, "conditions are forecast to be conducive for development..." Again, this is a system that we are watching carefully as it now appears it may enter the southern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend.
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> The second Tropical Wave is listed as having a 20 percent chance for further development over the next 5 days as it moves westward, getting closer to the Lesser Antilles. It is still somewhat disorganized at this time, but forecasters do believe that it has the capability to possibly develop into a Tropical Disturbance over the next 5 days. A reminder: Hurricane Season "ends" November 30th. - Sid Sperry, OAEC
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