Formation & Development of Tropical Depression #22; will be “Wilfred” if it strengthens into a Tropical Storm in southern Gulf of Mexico...
Sid Sperry 18 Sep 2020 00:53 UTC
The disturbance in the southern Gulf of Mexico that I mentioned last night has developed into a Tropical Depression late this afternoon, number 22. Should this storm system continue to develop and strengthen into a Tropical Storm, it would be called “Wilfred,” the last of the “alphabet” names assigned by the NHC. (If more Tropical Storms develop over the next several weeks of hurricane season, they would be assigned Greek Alphabet names, for example, Alpha, Beta, etc.) More information is provided on TD #22 below. It is expected to strengthen into a Tropical Storm in 1 or 2 days, but its forecast track is still very much up in the air, with lots of uncertainty.
Remnants of Hurricane Sally continue to bring heavy rainfall to parts of eastern NC and southeastern VA. Very little wind damage should be expected with what’s left of Sally.
Hurricane Teddy is now a Category 4 hurricane in the south-central Atlantic, but is expected to run into drier air and a building high pressure ridge to its northwest, and should weaken as its track takes it to the north-northeast over the 5-day forecast period. There are still roughly 10 weeks (to November 30!) remaining in what has already been an extremely active and record-setting Hurricane Season. The “peak” is usually mid-August to late October... but 2020 is FAR from being a ‘usual’ year! - Sid