FW: Tropics Update: Wednesday Morning Summary On Hurricane Matthew & T.S. Nicole*** Bill Willingham 05 Oct 2016 16:51 UTC

Anyone need more ROW crews?  There are co-op ROW crews available in other states too.

-----Original Message-----
From: list-manager@feca.simplelists.com [mailto:list-manager@feca.simplelists.com] On Behalf Of Kevin Riddle
Sent: Wednesday, October 05, 2016 12:49 PM
To: Bill Willingham
Cc: Statewide Storm Coordinators list serve
Subject: Re: Tropics Update: Wednesday Morning Summary On Hurricane Matthew & T.S. Nicole***

Arkansas I am sure would be able to fulfill with some. I will put the word out and see what we have available.

Would there be a need for ROW crews?
I have about 14 available with equipment to not only cut but remove debris as well.

Kevin Riddle
Arkansas Statewide

Sent from my iPhone

> On Oct 5, 2016, at 11:39 AM, Bill Willingham <fecabill@embarqmail.com> wrote:
>
> *** THIS IS AN EXTERNAL E-MAIL ***
>
> I hope to have an update before our call this afternoon, but here is the latest forecast from our EOC.  Apparently the NOAA 11:00 report has moved it even further west.  Florida will be asking for a lot of help.  The number of crew requests are below, and we would like to put them to work on Saturday morning:
>
> Clay – 16 construction, 17 material handler, 18 service Central – 4
> construction SECO - 20 construction Glades – 8 construction, at least
> 6 with 4wd PRECO – 15 construction, 5 service
>
>
>
>
> [SERT_Header]
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> This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational and situational awareness purposes only. Forecast conditions are subject to change based on a variety of environmental factors.  For additional information, or for any life safety concerns with an active weather event please contact your County Emergency Management or Public Safety Office, local National Weather Service forecast office or visit the National Hurricane Center website at www.nhc.noaa.gov<http://links.govdelivery.com:80/track?type=click&enid=ZWFzPTEmbXNpZD0mYXVpZD0mbWFpbGluZ2lkPTIwMTYxMDA1LjY0NjM1ODcxJm1lc3NhZ2VpZD1NREItUFJELUJVTC0yMDE2MTAwNS42NDYzNTg3MSZkYXRhYmFzZWlkPTEwMDEmc2VyaWFsPTE2ODE3NDQxJmVtYWlsaWQ9ZmVjYWJpbGxAZW1iYXJxbWFpbC5jb20mdXNlcmlkPWZlY2FiaWxsQGVtYmFycW1haWwuY29tJnRhcmdldGlkPSZmbD0mbXZpZD0mZXh0cmE9JiYm&&&100&&&http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>.
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> [12]
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> Tropical Summary:
> •At 5am EDT, Hurricane Matthew was located 65 miles north northwest of the eastern tip of Cuba, or approximately 480 miles southeast of Miami, Florida.
> •Maximum sustained winds are currently 125 mph with higher gusts, making Matthew a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
> •Matthew is moving toward the north near 10 mph. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected later today, followed by a northwest turn tonight. Matthew will be moving through the Bahamas through Thursday, and is expected to be very near the east coast of Florida by Thursday evening.
> •It is important not to focus on the center line of the forecast cone. Only small deviation in the forecast track to the left could bring the core of a major hurricane onshore, while a small deviation to the right could keep all of the hurricane-force winds offshore. It will likely take another day or so for the potential impacts of Matthew in the United States to clarify.
> •Matthew remains a large storm, with tropical storm force winds extending 160 miles from the center, and hurricane force winds extending 40 miles from the center.
> •Tropical Storm Nicole is located 490 miles north northeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico. Nicole is moving to the west-northwest at 6 mph. A turn toward the northwest is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the north by late Thursday. The system poses no threat to Florida.
> •Elsewhere, a tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while the wave moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days. Regardless of tropical cyclone development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are possible in the Windward and southern Leeward Islands during the next day or two as the wave moves through the area.
> •The system has a 10% (low) chance of development over the next 48 hours, and a 20% (low) chance of development through the next five days.
>
> Florida Outlook:
> •Hurricane Warning is in effect for Broward, Palm Beach, Martin, St. Lucie, Indian River, and Okeechobee Counties, along with Lake Okeechobee.
> •Hurricane Watch is in effect for Nassau, Duval, St. Johns, Flagler, Clay, Putnam, Volusia, Brevard, Osceola, Orange, and Seminole Counties.
> •Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Miami-Dade, Monroe, Collier, Hendry, and Glades Counties.
> •Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Lake, Sumter, Polk, Highlands, Marion, Union, Bradford, Baker, and Alachua Counties.
> •All of the eastern Florida peninsula is within the 3-day average error cone.
> •Regardless of track, Matthew is a very large storm and it has the potential to generate gusty winds and rough seas long the East Coast of Florida, along with minor coastal flooding, beach erosion, and dangerous rip currents.
> •Any additional impacts are dependent on future track and size of the storm, which still remain somewhat uncertain at this moment.
> •Areas along the east coast of Florida (from Miami to Jacksonville and inland to Orlando) have a greater than 70% chance of seeing tropical storm force winds within the next three days. Areas from Ft. Pierce to West Palm Beach have a 90% or greater chance of seeing tropical storm force winds.
> •Tropical storm force winds could arrive Thursday morning across Southeast Florida and spread from south to north across East Central Florida through the day on Thursday, and into Northeast Florida overnight Thursday into Friday morning.
> •Hurricane force winds will be just off the coast of Florida, and any westward deviation of the current track will bring those destructive hurricane force winds onshore.
> •The current forecast calls for 4-7” of rain near the I-95 corridor with isolated totals of 10” possible, but it is highly dependent on the track of the storm.
> •Storm surge values of 1-3’ is possible along the Southeast Florida coast, with storm surge heights of 3-5 feet possible from northern Palm Beach County through Nassau County. A few areas could experience higher values depending on the proximity of the core of the hurricane relative to the coast.
> •The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the Florida east coast from North Palm Beach to the Sebastian Inlet.
> •There is the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48 hours from Sebastian Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia county line.
> •Isolated tornadoes are possible Thursday and Friday.
> •Tropical Storm Nicole does not pose a threat to Florida.
>
> Another briefing packet will be issued on Wednesday afternoon. For
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